Will the current Italian government complete its full term until 2027?
PoliticsOne-OffChessGeopoliticsSportsEurope1y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 83.4%
Forecasters
14
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleJan 2, 25, 8:58 PM UTCOct 22, 27, 9:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
The current Italian government, led by Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni, came to power in October 2022.
- Her right-wing coalition includes Fratelli d'Italia (Brothers of Italy), Lega (League), and Forza Italia.
- Italy has historically experienced frequent government turnover, with the average government lasting less than 15 months since World War II.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES if:
- The current Meloni government remains in power until the natural end of the legislative term in 2027