Current community forecast
Yes 76.3%
Forecasters
33
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleMar 8, 23, 12:37 AM UTCMar 1, 27, 11:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the current Italian government last for the entire term of office?
Manifold MarketsWill the current Italian government complete its full term until 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich parties will be part of the next Italian government?
Manifold MarketsWill Susie Wiles serve for Trump’s entire term?
Manifold MarketsWill Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections?
PolymarketWill Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?
PolymarketRules
Italy has had no less than 70 governments in 77 years, and its political instability is a well known problem all around Europe.
- Will Giorgia Meloni last 5 years?
- https://pagellapolitica.it/articoli/durata-governi-italia
- (the article is in italian but I couldn't find anything as relevant in english)
- The market will resolve at the end of the term (~2027) or before in case of fall.