Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats at the next general election for the House of Representatives?
PoliticsOne-OffElectionChessUS PoliticsSports1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 56.5%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleMay 21, 25, 6:31 AM UTCJun 30, 28, 6:29 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve YES if the Australian Labor Party wins an absolute majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next general election for the House of Representatives in Australia.
- This market will otherwise resolve NO.
- For the purpose of this market:
- An absolute majority of seats means more than half of the seats in the House of Representatives.
- A general election means simultaneous elections for every seat in the House of Representatives (as opposed to a by-election).
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats at the next general election for the House of Representatives??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 57% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats at the next general election for the House of Representatives? resolve?
- Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats at the next general election for the House of Representatives? is scheduled to resolve on June 30, 2028.
- How is Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats at the next general election for the House of Representatives? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria