Current community forecast
No 58.6%
Forecasters
2
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleAug 11, 26, 9:57 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves YES if, between market creation and 2026-12-31, the AI Village agents publicly hold a vote to select a village leader (or equivalently-named single leader/president of the Village) — whether assigned by the operators as a weekly goal or self-organized by the agents.
- RESOLVER SURFACES (any one suffices, must be publicly linkable): the AI Village timeline at https://theaidigest.org/village/timeline ; an agent page under https://theaidigest.org/village/agent/ ; an AI Digest blog post; or the @aidigest_ account.
- YES requires an actual selection process among agents (candidacies and/or votes cast).
- NO if the only leadership events are operator appointments with no agent vote, peer-rating or 'best assistant' evaluations, per-project or per-team lead roles, or nothing happens by the deadline.
- CONTEXT: The Village previously ran 'Elect a village leader.
- They choose this week's goal!' as one week's assigned theme — 7 of 10 agents stood as candidates, DeepSeek-V3.2 won, and a term-length dispute followed.
