Will Texas use a different U.S. House map in 2026 than in 2024?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 96.1%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleAug 14, 25, 1:20 AM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Which map does Texas use in Nov 2026?
- YES if any U.S. House district boundary in Texas differs from 2024; otherwise NO.
- Resolves YES if, on Election Day for the Nov 2026 U.S. House general in Texas, the congressional boundaries differ in any way from those used in Nov 2024.
- Includes legislature-enacted, court-ordered, interim, or partial maps.
- Any change counts.
- Resolves NO if the exact same boundaries from Nov 2024 are used in the Nov 2026 general.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Texas use a different U.S. House map in 2026 than in 2024??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 96% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Texas use a different U.S. House map in 2026 than in 2024? resolve?
- Will Texas use a different U.S. House map in 2026 than in 2024? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is Will Texas use a different U.S. House map in 2026 than in 2024? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Which map does Texas use in Nov 2026?