KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 99%
Market quality
74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$5K
Liquidity
$8.7K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
1.0% / 2.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Sep 4, 26, 12:30 AM UTCNov 3, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the U.S. Supreme Court issues an order permitting Missouri's HB 1 congressional map to govern the November 3, 2026 general election in any U.S. Supreme Court proceeding arising from People Not Politicians and Richard von Glahn v.
Settles via:the U.S. Supreme Court
- Denny Hoskins, Missouri Supreme Court No. SC101805 before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The ruling must: Be issued by the U.S. Supreme Court in any U.S. Supreme Court proceeding arising from People Not Politicians and Richard von Glahn v.
- Denny Hoskins, Missouri Supreme Court No. SC101805 Address the matter described by the specified judgment Be issued through a written order, opinion, judgment, or decision
- The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: Oral rulings from the bench unless reduced to a written order Tentative rulings that are not made final Draft opinions that leak but are not officially issued Settlements or voluntary dismissals Administrative or scheduling orders Orders to show cause Minute orders that do not address the substantive issue in the specified judgment
- For clarity: If the case is dismissed for lack of jurisdiction, that counts as a ruling only if the judgment refers to jurisdiction Sua sponte rulings count if they match the specified judgment Per curiam opinions and summary orders count as rulings If multiple judges issue separate opinions, the majority/plurality opinion controls
Open markets
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $704M
- 24h Vol
- $804.1K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701.1M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.4M
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will SCOTUS permit Missouri's HB 1 House map??
- Kalshi prices No at 99% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will SCOTUS permit Missouri's HB 1 House map? resolve?
- Will SCOTUS permit Missouri's HB 1 House map? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is Will SCOTUS permit Missouri's HB 1 House map? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the U.S. Supreme Court issues an order permitting Missouri's HB 1 congressional map to govern the November 3, 2026 general election in any U.S. Supreme Court proceeding arising from People Not Politicians and Richard von Glahn v.