Will Texas use its 2021 map for the 2026 midterms?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Texas use its 2021 map for the 2026 midterms??

Manifold Markets prices No at 95.4% as of October 28, 2026.

When does Will Texas use its 2021 map for the 2026 midterms? resolve?

Will Texas use its 2021 map for the 2026 midterms? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.

How is Will Texas use its 2021 map for the 2026 midterms? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: A US federal court has blocked Texas from using new voting maps drawn by Republicans in an effort to shore up their majority in the 2026 midterm elections.

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POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in October?

• No change+4.8pt100%
• 25 bps decrease0%
• 25 bps increase-4.5pt0%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$101.7M

24h Vol

$21.7M

KALSHI

Which party will win the U.S. House?

• Democratic Party+0.1pt90.8%
• Republican Party-0.1pt9.1%

Total Vol

$77.4M

24h Vol

$3.1M

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico+1.0pt66.5%
• Ken Paxton33.5%

Total Vol

$47.3M

24h Vol

$2.7M

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep62.5%
• D-House, R-Senate28.5%
• Republicans sweep8.9%

KALSHI

Los Angeles Mayor winner?

• Karen Bass+11.0pt54.5%
• Nithya Raman-10.0pt45.5%

Total Vol

$44.9M

24h Vol

$2M

KALSHI

Texas Governor winner?

• Greg Abbott-1.0pt64.5%
• Gina Hinojosa+2.0pt35.5%

Total Vol

$8.4M

24h Vol

$1.5M

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