Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 95.2%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingNov 18, 25, 11:30 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
A US federal court has blocked Texas from using new voting maps drawn by Republicans in an effort to shore up their majority in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The current court ruling is that Texas must use its 2021 map, though this might be appealed in a higher court.
- Resolves YES if Texas uses its current 2021 map in the 2026 midterms, and NO if a different map is used.
Open markets
US Politics
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Texas use its 2021 map for the 2026 midterms??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 95% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Texas use its 2021 map for the 2026 midterms? resolve?
- Will Texas use its 2021 map for the 2026 midterms? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is Will Texas use its 2021 map for the 2026 midterms? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: A US federal court has blocked Texas from using new voting maps drawn by Republicans in an effort to shore up their majority in the 2026 midterm elections.