Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 91.3%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingMay 15, 26, 8:37 PM UTCDec 31, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Stephen Colbert run for a high US elected office before July 2028?
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PredictItWill Bernie Sanders run for President in 2028?
KalshiWho will run for president in 2028?
KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Stephen Colbert files the necessary paperwork with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) to run for President.
- Otherwise, it resolves to NO.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from Stephen Colbert or his representatives, or by documentation available via the Federal Election Commission website: https://www.fec.gov/data/candidates/?office=P&election_year=2028.
- Stephen Colbert, host of The Late Show with Stephen Colbert, famously ran a satirical campaign for President in 2008, where he sought to appear on the ballot in South Carolina.
- While he has frequently engaged in political commentary and satire regarding presidential elections, he has never pursued a legitimate candidacy for the office.
