Will speaking English become a legal requirement for permanent residency in the UK before 2027?
One-OffPoliticsEntertainmentMusic2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 70.1%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 23 minutes ago
Jul 21, 25, 9:59 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, before January 1, 2027, the United Kingdom enacts legislation that explicitly requires English language proficiency as a legal condition for obtaining permanent residency (Indefinite Leave to Remain).
- The resolution will be based on official UK government publications or reputable news sources confirming the enactment of such legislation.
- For the purposes of this market, both primary legislation (Acts of Parliament) and legally binding secondary legislation, such as amendments to the Immigration Rules laid before Parliament, will satisfy the resolution criteria.
- In May 2025, the UK government published a white paper titled "Restoring Control over the Immigration System," proposing significant reforms to the immigration framework.
- Among the proposed changes are: