Will "The Inkhaven Residency" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
EntertainmentOne-OffMusicSociety & Culture3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 94.2%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleAug 4, 25, 1:27 AM UTCFeb 1, 27, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who Will Perform at Harry Styles’ MSG Residency?
KalshiNetherlands raises standard naturalization residency requirement to ≥10 years by Dec 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill speaking English become a legal requirement for permanent residency in the UK before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Indiana Public Question 2 (city and town court judge residency) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWill Kanye West kill himself before Pete Davidson?
Manifold MarketsWhat is Billie Eilish crying for?
Manifold MarketsRules
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2025 Review resolves in February 2027.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post The Inkhaven Residency is one of the top fifty posts of the 2025 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.