Will Speaker Mike Johnson send the House members home early before midterms?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 80.8%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Sep 8, 26, 11:22 AM UTCNov 2, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by which date?
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Manifold MarketsWill Mike Johnson remain Speaker of the House through the 2026 US Midterm elections?
FutuurRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Speaker Mike Johnson send the House members home early before midterms??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 81% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Speaker Mike Johnson send the House members home early before midterms? resolve?
- Will Speaker Mike Johnson send the House members home early before midterms? is scheduled to resolve on November 2, 2026.