Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 89.8%
Forecasters
26
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleNov 24, 25, 9:29 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 10:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Will Resolve YES if at any point before Nov 3 2026 Mike Johnson is no longer speaker.
- There is speculation Republican members will retire mid term and this will result in Mike Johnson no longer having a majority.
Open markets
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Mike Johnson gone as House speaker before Nov 3 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 90% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Mike Johnson gone as House speaker before Nov 3 2026? resolve?
- Mike Johnson gone as House speaker before Nov 3 2026? is scheduled to resolve on November 4, 2026.
- How is Mike Johnson gone as House speaker before Nov 3 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Will Resolve YES if at any point before Nov 3 2026 Mike Johnson is no longer speaker.