Will SCOTUS rule in favor of Trump in Trump v. Cook?
FedOne-OffUS PoliticsCrime & JusticePoliticsTrade PolicyElectionManifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (95.2%)
Resolved: Aug 5, 2026, 4:53 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecastNo 95.2%
Forecasters
22
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 days ago
StaleJan 19, 26, 12:45 AMAug 5, 26, 4:53 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes4.8%
No95.2%
95.2%
4.8%
Rules
Resolution Criteria
- Market Resolves YES if:
- The Supreme Court issues an order or final decision that allows President Trump's removal of Lisa Cook from her position as Federal Reserve Board Governor to proceed, or
- The Court stays/vacates the preliminary injunctions preventing her removal, or
- The Court issues a ruling in which a majority of Justices determine that the President had valid "for cause" grounds to remove Cook under the Federal Reserve Act (12 U.S.C. § 242), OR
- The Court holds that the President's removal decision is unreviewable by courts and therefore valid
