Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be alive by 31 December 2026?
PoliticsOne-OffHealth & MedicineUS PoliticsElection2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 92%
Forecasters
14
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleFeb 7, 24, 11:16 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market explores the probability of Robert F. Kennedy Jr., a noted environmental lawyer, author, and activist who has declared his candidacy for the presidential race in 2024, being alive at the end of 31 December 2026.
- Given Kennedy's public figure status and his involvement in political and environmental advocacy, his health and longevity are of interest to the public, especially in the context of his presidential campaign.
- Participants should consider factors such as publicly available health information, Kennedy's age and lifestyle, environmental and professional stressors associated with his advocacy and political activities, and general actuarial data relevant to his demographic.
- Discussions and speculation within this market must be conducted with respect and should be based on information that is publicly available, avoiding unfounded speculation or disrespectful commentary.
- The resolution of this market will depend on clear, publicly accessible evidence confirming Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s status as of 31 December 2026.
- In the event that definitive evidence from reliable and reputable sources is not available by the market's closure, the outcome will be determined as ambiguous.
