Current community forecast
Yes 53.2%
Forecasters
33
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 18 hours ago
StaleJan 1, 26, 6:13 PMDec 17, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes53%
Volume trend
$131Jul 811d of dataJul 26
Related Markets
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?
$0Yes: 21%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETNo new countries join the European Union (EU) in 2026
$2KYes: 93.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the Green Party of England and Wales consistently poll >=20% in 2026?
$76.8Yes: 40%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
What countries will hold referenda on leaving the EU?
$0Italy: 1%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?
$0Yes: 36%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?
$0Yes: 11%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Related News
Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Le Pen jumps to 33% in France 2027 race, volume tops $114MBlockchain.News%20Abstract%20Cryptocurrency.%20With%20a%20dark%20background%20and%20a%20world%20map-min.jpg)
Polymarket odds: Lula leads Brazil 2026 race at 61.5% after 12pp jumpBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds: Eizenkot tops Israel PM market at 42.7% on $26.9MBlockchain.NewsPolymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as 2028 field stays fragmentedBlockchain.NewsRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.