Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNigel Farage 63%Leader of 8 outcomes
Forecasters
18
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 49 minutes ago
LaggingMay 5, 25, 12:29 AM UTCJan 2, 29, 1:28 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
If this person is leader of Reform UK going into the next UK general election, will the PM be Reform?
Manifold MarketsIf Zack Polanski is not leader of the Green Party going into the next UK election, will the PM be Green?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next permanent leader of Reform UK (after Nigel Farage)?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsNigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by which date?
PolymarketWhich party will win the next UK general election?
KalshiRules
Resolves at the leader of Reform UK.
- If Reform UK has changed its name but is still the same party, resolves at the leader of that party.
- If Reform UK no longer exists as a separate political party, resolves "Nobody".