Current community forecast
Nigel Farage 36%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
11
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleMay 5, 25, 4:59 PM UTCJan 1, 29, 5:58 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will be the leader of Reform UK going into the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsIf this person is leader of the Conservatives going into the next UK general election, will the Economist endorse Cons?
Manifold MarketsIf this person is leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK general election, will the Economist endorse Labour?
Manifold MarketsIf this person is leader of the Lib Dems going into the next UK general election, will the Economist endorse Lib Dems?
Manifold MarketsCalifornia Recall Election Reform Proposition
PolymarketNigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by which date?
PolymarketRules
Resolves N/A for options that are not the leader of Reform UK going into the next UK general election.
- Otherwise, resolves YES if the PM is Reform (even if they are not the leader going into the election), and NO otherwise.
