Current community forecast
Nigel Farage 34.5%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
10
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleMay 5, 25, 4:59 PM UTCJan 1, 29, 5:58 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will be the leader of Reform UK going into the next UK general election?
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PolymarketNigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by which date?
PolymarketRules
Resolves N/A for options that are not the leader of Reform UK going into the next UK general election.
- Otherwise, resolves YES if the PM is Reform (even if they are not the leader going into the election), and NO otherwise.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for If this person is leader of Reform UK going into the next UK general election, will the PM be Reform??
- Manifold Markets prices Nigel Farage at 35% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does If this person is leader of Reform UK going into the next UK general election, will the PM be Reform? resolve?
- If this person is leader of Reform UK going into the next UK general election, will the PM be Reform? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2029.
- How is If this person is leader of Reform UK going into the next UK general election, will the PM be Reform? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves N/A for options that are not the leader of Reform UK going into the next UK general election.