Current community forecast
No 61%
Forecasters
15
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleDec 2, 25, 2:05 PM UTCDec 31, 30, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiIn what year will the next UK general election be held?
KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Reform UK is in government following the next UK general election, either as the main governing party or as part of a formal supply and confidence agreement with another party.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the UK government and Parliament regarding the composition of government.
- The next UK general election is scheduled to be held no later than Wednesday 15 August 2029, though it may be called earlier at the Prime Minister's discretion.