Will prediction markets be formally integrated into a government's political system before 2040? 📜🏛️⚖️📊
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Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 7:45 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
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27
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Forecast
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Updated 7 hours ago
StaleApr 13, 24, 6:53 PM UTCJan 1, 40, 12:59 PM UTC
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PredictItRules
will need to be in a nation, state, municipality etc. with over 1 Million residents
- "formally" meaning it is explicitly part of the political system for policymakers to consult prediction markets (e.g. explicit much like the political system in the US explicitly requires a certain number of votes in the senate for a law to be passed)
- e.g. a central bank deciding whether to raise or lower interest rates can, much like they use macroeconomic indicators, consult prediction markets -- and are explicitly allowed to do so
- It cannot be a pilot program / small-scale test
