Will prediction markets be formally blocked in Florida before January 1, 2027?
One-OffRegulationUS Politics3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 73.5%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleMar 20, 26, 9:50 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will prediction markets be formally integrated into a government's political system before 2040? 📜🏛️⚖️📊
Manifold MarketsLaw banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
PolymarketWill a law restricting sports trades on prediction markets be enacted in 2026?
PredictItWho will be caught insider trading in prediction markets?
Manifold MarketsWill Prediction Markets be banned in the US before 31 December, 2026?
Manifold MarketsSports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?
PolymarketRules
Florida currently has no formal blocking order against prediction market platforms, but tribal gaming opposition and Seminole Compact concerns are creating friction for operators like Fanatics Markets according to https://marvn.ai/discover/guides/prediction-markets-legal-status.
- This market resolves YES if Florida's Attorney General, a state court, or gaming regulator issues a formal cease-and-desist , injunction, or legislative ban against prediction market operators before January 1, 2027.
- Resolves NO if no formal action is taken by that date.
Open markets
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Total Vol
- $14.5M
- 24h Vol
- $289.9K
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027-11.0pt44%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-13.0pt38%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-1.0pt84%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 more outcomes
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before May 1, 2027+5.0pt54%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-4.0pt47%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T20.4%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.4%
- $1.5T–$1.75T18.4%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $122.2K
- How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will prediction markets be formally blocked in Florida before January 1, 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 74% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will prediction markets be formally blocked in Florida before January 1, 2027? resolve?
- Will prediction markets be formally blocked in Florida before January 1, 2027? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will prediction markets be formally blocked in Florida before January 1, 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Florida currently has no formal blocking order against prediction market platforms, but tribal gaming opposition and Seminole Compact concerns are creating friction for operators like Fanatics Markets according to https://marvn.ai/discover/guides/prediction-markets-legal-status.