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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Regulation
  3. Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?

Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?

0.5% (24h)RegulationOne-OffCommoditiesPoliticsElection18d
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 18%+0.0%
Market quality

40 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$9K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

17.0% / 19.0%

Spread

11.8%

Wide spread
7d Change

+2.0%

Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Mar 27, 26, 6:08 PMJun 30, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes18%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
  • Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override.
  • Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
  • Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override.
  • Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.