Before Jan 1, 2027
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 90%
No 90%Market quality
69 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$5.5K
Open interest
$3.4K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
8.0% / 10.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Oct 1, 26, 8:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. A preliminary review, initial review, inquiry or referral alone does not qualify.
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.