Shayne Coplan (Polymarket CEO) formally charged with a felony before 2028?
RegulationOne-OffCrime & Justice1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 89%
Forecasters
17
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Mar 27, 25, 7:35 AM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
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KalshiRules
Resolves YES if Shayne Coplan is formally indicted, charged, or arrested for any felony offense (not misdemeanors) by any U.S. federal, state, or local authority before January 1, 2028.
- Resolves NO if no such charges are filed before January 1, 2028.
- - "Formally charged" means an official filing of charges by a prosecutor or grand jury indictment
- - Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, or settlements without criminal charges would NOT resolve as YES
- - The outcome of any trial is irrelevant - only the filing of charges
- - International charges would not count unless extradited to and charged in the U.S.
