If a Nobel Prize for Economics is awarded to work on prediction markets before 2040, will the recipient be Robin Hanson?
One-OffScienceSociety & Culture13yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 62.7%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleApr 25, 26, 11:46 AM UTCDec 31, 39, 11:59 PM UTC
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for If a Nobel Prize for Economics is awarded to work on prediction markets before 2040, will the recipient be Robin Hanson??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 63% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does If a Nobel Prize for Economics is awarded to work on prediction markets before 2040, will the recipient be Robin Hanson? resolve?
- If a Nobel Prize for Economics is awarded to work on prediction markets before 2040, will the recipient be Robin Hanson? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2039.