Assuming Robin Hanson is awarded the nobel prize, which of his research areas will it be related to?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Assuming Robin Hanson is awarded the nobel prize, which of his research areas will it be related to??

Manifold Markets prices Prediction markets at 41.9% as of October 31, 2026.

When does Assuming Robin Hanson is awarded the nobel prize, which of his research areas will it be related to? resolve?

Assuming Robin Hanson is awarded the nobel prize, which of his research areas will it be related to? is scheduled to resolve on March 19, 2037.

How is Assuming Robin Hanson is awarded the nobel prize, which of his research areas will it be related to? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market is open until Robin Hanson wins a nobel prize, which is to say that if he wins the nobel prize multiple times in his life, we are here concerned with his first nobel prize.

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KALSHI

Golden Globe Winner: Best Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy

• Wild Horse Nine+4.0pt36.5%
• The Debut17.5%
• The Invite12.5%

+12 more outcomes

Total Vol

$48.1K

24h Vol

$12.9K

ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)

College Football 2026: Heisman Trophy Winner

• JSMI+2.0pt41%
• DMEN+1.0pt25%
• MTON-2.0pt21%

+28 more outcomes

KALSHI

The Game Awards: Game of the Year

• Grand Theft Auto VI84.5%
• Resident Evil Requiem-1.0pt5.5%
• Phantom Blade Zero4.5%

POLYMARKET

MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year

• Andreas Maxsø15%
• Carlos Terán15%
• Michael Boxall15%

+57 more outcomes

Total Vol

$947.8K

KALSHI

Golden Globe Winner: Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy

• John Malkovich-2.0pt73%
• Tom Cruise-10.0pt10%
• Ryan Gosling+3.0pt

POLYMARKET

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027

• Jimmy Lai-1.0pt12%
• Yulia Navalnaya+0.5pt12%
• Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms-0.3pt11%

+14 more outcomes

• 2027 Nobel Peace Prize winner
• Critics Choice Awards: Best Actor in a Comedy Series
• Golden Globe Winner: Best Motion Picture - Drama
• Grammy Winner: Best New Artist
• The Streamer Awards: Gamer of the Year
• CMA Awards: Entertainer of the Year
• Streamer Awards: Gamer of the Year
• MLS: 2026 Most Valuable Player
• The Streamer Awards: Streamer of the Year
• BBC Sports Personality of the Year Winner 2026
• Streamer Awards: Best Streamer Collab