Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 82.1%
Forecasters
13
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleJun 16, 26, 12:26 PM UTCJan 1, 42, 11:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Robin Hanson win the Nobel Prize for Economics before his death?
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Manifold MarketsRules
This question answers YES if Robin Hanson reiceves the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences, regardless if that is due to his work on Prediction Markets / Idea Futures or Futarchy or any other set or subset of his work.
- This question resolves NO if Robin Hanson dies (and remains dead) before he is awarded that prize.
