Will Robin Hanson win the Nobel Prize for Economics before his death?
AwardsManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 95.4%
Forecasters
13
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleApr 22, 26, 5:30 PM UTCApr 22, 50, 5:28 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Robin Hanson win the Nobel Prize for Economics before his death??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 95% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Robin Hanson win the Nobel Prize for Economics before his death? resolve?
- Will Robin Hanson win the Nobel Prize for Economics before his death? is scheduled to resolve on April 22, 2050.
