Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jun 15, 2026, 10:45 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current community forecastNo 94.9%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 42 days ago
StaleNov 5, 24, 7:16 AMDec 31, 26, 10:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes5%
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Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.