Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 86.1%
Forecasters
28
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingFeb 24, 24, 10:13 PM UTCMar 1, 31, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will China control Vladivostok on Jan 1st 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia control Vladivostok on Jan 1st 2033?
Manifold MarketsWill Kim Jong Un be the leader of North Korea at the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill North Korea collapse before the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketWill North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
PolymarketRules
Resolves as YES if North Korea controls Vladivostok on January 1st 2031