Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 64%
Forecasters
19
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleFeb 16, 23, 6:25 AM UTCDec 31, 23, 3:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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FutuurRules
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kim_Ju-ae
- Yes if multiple credible media outlets report that Kim Ju-ae has become the leader or de facto leader of North Korea after Kim Jong-un.
- No if multiple credibe media outlets report that someone other than Kim Ju-ae has become the leader or de facto leader of North Korea after Kim Jong-un.
- Resolve N/A otherwise.