Will Kim Ju Ae be formally designated as the heir to Kim Jong Un in 2026?
One-OffPoliticsGeopolitics2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 90%
Forecasters
17
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 23 hours ago
StaleFeb 12, 26, 8:15 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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FutuurRules
Requires a formal announcement from North Korean government.
- Will resolve based on a consensus of popular reporting: not just that intelligence analysis or reading between the lines indicates Kim Ju Ae as the likely successor, but reporting indicating that North Korea has formally designated Kim Ju Ae as the next leader after Kim Jong Un.
- Resolves when this occurs, even if later in the year, this is changed or undone.
- If her name is different than Kim Ju Ae, but we're still referring to the 12-14 year old daughter of Kim Jong Un (his ~probably second oldest child), then that's fine, given that her name is uncertain at the moment.
- I will not bet on this market, so as to remain unbiased as to what constitutes a formal announcement of her position as heir.
