Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 86.7%
Forecasters
15
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleDec 20, 23, 10:51 AM UTCJan 7, 28, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Kim Jong Un be the leader of North Korea at the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Kim Jong Un be the leader of North Korea at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Kim Yo Jong be the leader of North Korea by 2028?
Manifold MarketsKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketKim Jong-Un still Supreme Leader of North Korea through the end of 2026?
FutuurWill Kim Jong-Un visit the US during Trump's term?
KalshiRules
Resolves as YES if Kim Jong Un is the leader of North Korea on December 31st 2027.
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNiFHfMN/will-kim-jong-un-be-the-leader-of-n
- @/RemNiFHfMN/will-kim-jong-un-be-the-leader-of-n-2c7e5cf84f34
- @/RemNiFHfMN/will-kim-jong-un-be-the-leader-of-n-37fe12f0ac09
- @/RemNiFHfMN/will-kim-jong-un-be-the-leader-of-n-1244cc6dbed1 (this question)
Open markets
Russia / UkrainePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74.8%
- New People (NL)-4.2pt21.2%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.4pt3%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $25.7M
- 24h Vol
- $482.7K
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027-1.0pt14%
- December7%
- September 30,1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $23.1M
POLYMARKETRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
- United Russia (ER)+0.1pt99%
- Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)1%
- A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)0%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Yulia Navalnaya8%
- UNRWA-0.1pt7%
- International Court of Justice+1.4pt6%
+17 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUnited Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
- 325–339-0.5pt36.7%
- 340–354+3.0pt24.5%
- 310–324-4.0pt23.5%
POLYMARKETRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- December 31,68%
- November 30,67%
- October 31,64%
+15 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $7.4M
- Bank of Russia decision in September?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Will Russia target Kyiv on?
- Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by which date?
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
- Will Russia capture Lyman by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by which date?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Kim Jong Un be the leader of North Korea at the end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 87% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Kim Jong Un be the leader of North Korea at the end of 2027? resolve?
- Will Kim Jong Un be the leader of North Korea at the end of 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 7, 2028.
- How is Will Kim Jong Un be the leader of North Korea at the end of 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves as YES if Kim Jong Un is the leader of North Korea on December 31st 2027.