Will John Fetterman Leave the Democratic Party Before the 2026 Midterms?
One-OffUS PoliticsPolitics8d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 4:28 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 95.5%
Forecasters
40
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleDec 6, 24, 3:17 AM UTCNov 4, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves to "yes" if John Fetterman (D-PA) is not a member of the Democratic Party at any point before 12:00 AM ET on November 3rd, 2026.