Will John Fetterman Leave the Democratic Party Before the 2026 Midterms?
One-OffUS PoliticsPolitics1mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 84.5%
Forecasters
34
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleDec 6, 24, 3:17 AM UTCNov 4, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves to "yes" if John Fetterman (D-PA) is not a member of the Democratic Party at any point before 12:00 AM ET on November 3rd, 2026.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will John Fetterman Leave the Democratic Party Before the 2026 Midterms??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 85% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will John Fetterman Leave the Democratic Party Before the 2026 Midterms? resolve?
- Will John Fetterman Leave the Democratic Party Before the 2026 Midterms? is scheduled to resolve on November 4, 2026.
- How is Will John Fetterman Leave the Democratic Party Before the 2026 Midterms? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves to "yes" if John Fetterman (D-PA) is not a member of the Democratic Party at any point before 12:00 AM ET on November 3rd, 2026.