Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 70.8%
Forecasters
16
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 38 minutes ago
Oct 7, 26, 5:52 AM UTCNov 2, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsWill John Fetterman leave the Democratic party?
KalshiRules
Resolves YES if John Fetterman endorses a Republican (as they appear on the ballot) for any election in 2026 before 11.59pm ET November 2 2026.
- Saying don’t vote for the Democrat isn’t enough, it must be a positive endorsement of the Republican.
- An endorsement includes telling voters to vote for the candidate and explicit endorsements.