Will Elon Musk endorse a republican candidate in the next US presidential election?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection3y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 5:55 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastYes 60.4%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleJun 5, 25, 8:05 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 11:59 PM UTC
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Robinhood (Rothera)Rules
This market concerns whether Elon Musk will endorse the republican candidate in the next US presidential election.
- Please note that this market will be resolved only after the election concludes — there will be no early resolution.
- While the next US presidential election is currently scheduled for 2028, this market applies to whichever election occurs next.
- If, for any reason, the next election takes place before or after 2028, this market will still apply to that election.
- This market is currently set to close in 2030, but the closing date may be extended.
- The goal is to keep the market open until the question is definitively resolved.
