Will Elon Musk endorse a republican candidate in the next US presidential election?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 60.4%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleJun 5, 25, 8:05 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market concerns whether Elon Musk will endorse the republican candidate in the next US presidential election.
- Please note that this market will be resolved only after the election concludes — there will be no early resolution.
- While the next US presidential election is currently scheduled for 2028, this market applies to whichever election occurs next.
- If, for any reason, the next election takes place before or after 2028, this market will still apply to that election.
- This market is currently set to close in 2030, but the closing date may be extended.
- The goal is to keep the market open until the question is definitively resolved.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Elon Musk endorse a republican candidate in the next US presidential election??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 60% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Elon Musk endorse a republican candidate in the next US presidential election? resolve?
- Will Elon Musk endorse a republican candidate in the next US presidential election? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.
- How is Will Elon Musk endorse a republican candidate in the next US presidential election? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market concerns whether Elon Musk will endorse the republican candidate in the next US presidential election.