Will Joe Manchin run for the U.S. Senate seat in West Virginia in 2026?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 95.8%
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5
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binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleNov 9, 25, 5:04 PM UTCNov 11, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
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KalshiRules
Refers to former senator Joe Manchin.
- I will tend to resolve yes for any concrete statement from Manchin that he is running, but things like an exploratory committee or obvious trial balloons won't count.
- I won't bet in the market, will try to answer clarifying questions.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Joe Manchin run for the U.S. Senate seat in West Virginia in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 96% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Joe Manchin run for the U.S. Senate seat in West Virginia in 2026? resolve?
- Will Joe Manchin run for the U.S. Senate seat in West Virginia in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on November 11, 2026.
- How is Will Joe Manchin run for the U.S. Senate seat in West Virginia in 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Refers to former senator Joe Manchin.