Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 73.9%
Forecasters
23
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 19 hours ago
StaleMar 20, 26, 7:38 AM UTCDec 31, 30, 7:34 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by which date?
PolymarketRules
Closes at signing of a ceasefire or treaty by both the US and whomever is in charge of Iran by that point, or if Biden kicks the bucket.
