Will gay marriage be illegal in the United States during Trump's presidency.
One-OffUS PoliticsPoliticsSociety & Culture2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 96.8%
Forecasters
67
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 19 hours ago
StaleDec 5, 24, 4:35 PM UTCJan 23, 29, 4:59 AM UTC
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PolymarketRules
Settles Yes if gay marriage is illegal on the federal level on the day prior to the last day Trump is president.
- Possible clarification from creator (AI generated): Market resolves to Yes if there is a federal law explicitly prohibiting gay marriage, even if individual states have laws permitting it (similar to the current federal/state dynamic with marijuana).