Will Gavin Newsom ever become the Democratic nominee for president?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection6y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 69.9%
Forecasters
52
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 46 minutes ago
LaggingJan 19, 24, 2:09 AM UTCNov 1, 32, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Gavin Newsom be the next Democrat to become President of the United States?
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Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by which date?
PolymarketGavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?
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KalshiRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Gavin Newsom ever become the Democratic nominee for president??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 70% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Gavin Newsom ever become the Democratic nominee for president? resolve?
- Will Gavin Newsom ever become the Democratic nominee for president? is scheduled to resolve on November 1, 2032.