Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 87.8%
Forecasters
15
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleJan 6, 26, 10:59 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Elon Musk physically enters Russian territory at any point during 2026.
- This includes any Russian city, region, or territory (with the exclusion of ceded/contested Ukrainian territory).
- Resolution will be based on credible
- Musk has allegedly been in regular contact with Russian President Vladimir Putin since 2022, though the Kremlin has denied frequent communications, claiming only one telephone call occurred.
- Putin's international cooperation envoy has expressed interest in teaming up with Musk, saying discussions could take place "in the near future", with proposals involving space cooperation and Mars missions.
