X banned in any European country by December 31?
0.5 pts (24h)Russia / UkraineTechOne-OffPoliticsEurope3mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 85%-0.5pt
Market quality
43 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$3.4
Liquidity
$355.4
Low liquidityBid / Ask
12.0% / 18.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
7
7d Change
+2.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Mar 31, 26, 7:53 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the use of X/Twitter is banned within any European country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, a “European country” is defined as any of the following sovereign states: Albania, Andorra, Austria, Belarus, Belgium, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Georgia, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Kosovo, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Moldova, Monaco, Montenegro, Netherlands, North Macedonia, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine, United Kingdom, and Vatican City.
- A ban will qualify if legislation is enacted or government action is taken to bar the respective country's citizens from downloading and/or viewing X/Twitter, and/or posting on X/Twitter.
- Any legislation or government action that meets these standards will qualify, regardless of whether or when the ban goes into effect.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the respective government and X/Twitter; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.