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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. X banned in any European country by December 31?
X banned in any European country by December 31?

X banned in any European country by December 31?

TechOne-OffPoliticsEurope6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 32%
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$3.4

Liquidity

$2.1K

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

30.0% / 33.0%

Spread

10.0%

Wide spread
7d Change

+1.5%

Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Mar 31, 26, 7:56 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes32%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the use of X/Twitter is banned within any European country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • For the purposes of this market, a “European country” is defined as any of the following sovereign states: Albania, Andorra, Austria, Belarus, Belgium, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Georgia, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Kosovo, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Moldova, Monaco, Montenegro, Netherlands, North Macedonia, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine, United Kingdom, and Vatican City.
  • A ban will qualify if legislation is enacted or government action is taken to bar the respective country's citizens from downloading and/or viewing X/Twitter, and/or posting on X/Twitter.
  • Any legislation or government action that meets these standards will qualify, regardless of whether or when the ban goes into effect.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the respective government and X/Twitter; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,792.00+1.89%EthereumETH$1,657.08+1.22%SolanaSOL$65.13+1.58%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.32%BNBBNB$600.13+2.29%XRPXRP$1.12+0.34%

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the use of X/Twitter is banned within any European country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • For the purposes of this market, a “European country” is defined as any of the following sovereign states: Albania, Andorra, Austria, Belarus, Belgium, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Georgia, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Kosovo, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Moldova, Monaco, Montenegro, Netherlands, North Macedonia, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine, United Kingdom, and Vatican City.
  • A ban will qualify if legislation is enacted or government action is taken to bar the respective country's citizens from downloading and/or viewing X/Twitter, and/or posting on X/Twitter.
  • Any legislation or government action that meets these standards will qualify, regardless of whether or when the ban goes into effect.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the respective government and X/Twitter; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.