Will Elon Musk be assassinated before the end of Trumps presidency?
PoliticsOne-OffTechSpaceElectionUS Politics2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 97.3%
Forecasters
99
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Jan 10, 25, 11:00 PM UTCJan 20, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
Elon Musk is the CEO of multiple high-profile companies including Tesla, SpaceX, and X (formerly Twitter).
- Donald Trump is currently the presumptive Republican nominee for the 2024 presidential election.
- If elected, his term would run from January 20, 2025 to January 20, 2029.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES if Elon Musk dies as a result of an intentional act of violence by another person or group before the end of Trump's potential second presidential term (January 20, 2029).
- The market will resolve NO if:
