Will Elon Musk be assassinated before the end of Trumps presidency?
PoliticsOne-OffTechSpaceElectionUS Politics2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 97.3%
Forecasters
99
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleJan 10, 25, 11:00 PM UTCJan 20, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Elon Musk is the CEO of multiple high-profile companies including Tesla, SpaceX, and X (formerly Twitter).
- Donald Trump is currently the presumptive Republican nominee for the 2024 presidential election.
- If elected, his term would run from January 20, 2025 to January 20, 2029.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES if Elon Musk dies as a result of an intentional act of violence by another person or group before the end of Trump's potential second presidential term (January 20, 2029).
- The market will resolve NO if:
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Elon Musk be assassinated before the end of Trumps presidency??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 97% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Elon Musk be assassinated before the end of Trumps presidency? resolve?
- Will Elon Musk be assassinated before the end of Trumps presidency? is scheduled to resolve on January 20, 2029.
- How is Will Elon Musk be assassinated before the end of Trumps presidency? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Elon Musk is the CEO of multiple high-profile companies including Tesla, SpaceX, and X (formerly Twitter).