Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 55.8%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleDec 3, 25, 3:37 PM UTCDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Sara Duterte be convicted and removed from office in 2026?
FutuurWill a Hylion executive be convicted of fraud before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a Manifold user be convicted of murder by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Fauci be convicted?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI agent be directly convicted of a crime before 2030?
Manifold MarketsLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
