Will Donald Trump issue Elon Musk a Presidential Pardon while he is in office
One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElection2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 87.4%
Forecasters
71
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleFeb 6, 25, 8:52 PM UTCJan 22, 29, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
The pardon can be for a specific act or crime or could be a blanket pardon.
- Background Presidential pardons are a constitutional power granted to the President of the United States under Article II, Section 2.
- A pardon can be issued preemptively (before any charges or conviction) or after conviction, and can be specific to certain crimes or a blanket pardon covering a period of time.
- Currently, there are no public criminal charges against Elon Musk that would require a presidential pardon.
- Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if Donald Trump, while serving as President of the United States, issues any form of presidential pardon (specific or blanket) to Elon Musk.
- The market will resolve NO if Trump's presidential term ends without issuing a pardon to Musk.