Will Donald Trump be the Republican party nominee in the 2028 US presidential election?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 7:45 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 97.6%
Forecasters
55
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingMar 11, 23, 4:59 PM UTCJun 7, 29, 6:59 AM UTC
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PredictItWill Donald J. Trump win the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
