Will Donald Trump be revealed to have a major medical condition before the end of his second presidential term?
PoliticsOne-OffHealth & MedicineUS PoliticsElection2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 78.3%
Forecasters
32
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingNov 7, 24, 7:11 PM UTCJan 21, 29, 7:59 AM UTC
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FutuurRules
This market will resolve YES if, before January 20, 2029:
- Donald Trump is diagnosed with and publicly disclosed to have any of the following:
- A condition requiring hospitalization for more than 24 hours
- A chronic disease requiring ongoing medical treatment
- A condition that would significantly impact presidential duties as determined by medical professionals
- The condition must be verified by at least one of:
