Will Democratic candidate Sherrod Brown win Mahoning County in the OH-SEN election?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 81.5%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleSep 19, 26, 2:10 AM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Democratic candidate Sherrod Brown receives a higher number of certified votes in Mahoning County, Ohio than any other candidate in the Ohio U.S. Senate special election scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- If he does not receive the highest number of votes in the county, this market will resolve to NO.
- The primary source of truth for county-level certified election results will be the official results published by the Mahoning County Board of Elections or the Ohio Secretary of State.
- If the election is delayed, the market will resolve based on the eventual certified results for the rescheduled election.
- If Sherrod Brown is not on the ballot for the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election, this market will resolve to NO.
