Will cyberattacks cause a major societal disruption before 2027-07?
FedOne-OffEquitiesGeopoliticsCentral BanksSociety & CultureTechCrime & Justice8moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 51%
Forecasters
14
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Oct 24, 26, 12:52 PM UTCJun 30, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
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PolymarketRules
This market resolves YES if cyberattacks starting before July 1, 2027 cause any of the following:
- A massive outage.
- Reuters, AP, BBC, Bloomberg, or the Financial Times report that the attacks cut off a combined total of at least 100 million people from the internet or from widely used online services for 72 hours or more.
- A national emergency.
- The government of a G7 country (Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the UK, or the US) declares a national emergency in response to disruption caused by the attacks.
- Standing declarations that just authorize sanctions or other general measures against cyber threats don’t count.
