Will Colorado Proposition 135 (prohibiting certain surgeries on minors) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsHealth & MedicineElection12d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 53.9%
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11
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binary
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Updated 8 minutes ago
Oct 6, 26, 6:37 AM UTCNov 4, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market resolves YES if Colorado Proposition 135 (Prohibit Certain Surgeries on Minors) is approved by voters at the November 3, 2026 general election under its official approval rule:
- Simple majority of votes cast on the measure (statutory; SOS/Blue Book: 'Passes with a majority vote')
- Only the November 3, 2026 vote counts; earlier votes on similar proposals do not.
- YES means voter approval at this election, not that the measure is later implemented.
- What the votes mean (official summary):
- YES: Bans these surgeries on minors and bars government funds or insurance from paying (Blue Book).
