Current community forecast
No 59.9%
Forecasters
11
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingOct 6, 26, 6:37 AM UTCNov 4, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Colorado Proposition 135 (prohibiting certain surgeries on minors) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWill Colorado Proposition 133 (penalties for trafficking of a minor) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWill Colorado Proposition 136 (4.4% income tax rate cap) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWill Colorado Proposition NN (keeping excess revenue for K-12 schools) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsColorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?
PolymarketWashington passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?
PolymarketRules
This market resolves YES if Colorado Proposition 134 (Male and Female Participation in School Sports) is approved by voters at the November 3, 2026 general election under its official approval rule:
- Simple majority of votes cast on the measure (statutory; SOS/Blue Book: 'Passes with a majority vote')
- Only the November 3, 2026 vote counts; earlier votes on similar proposals do not.
- YES means voter approval at this election, not that the measure is later implemented.
- What the votes mean (official summary):
- YES: School teams designated by biological sex or as mixed; schools must adopt sex-eligibility policies (Blue Book).
